Re: Pitchforks And Torches Will No Longer Be Able To Stop The 1%

Posted: Sun May 03, 2020 2:31 pm, #47
by Doctor A
We are now all experiencing the global pandemic and it's disruption to our lives. This will not even remotely prepare us for the technological singularity. In fact, the global pandemic will be a cakewalk compared to the coming singularity.

Matthias,

I did not answer your question well yesterday about this pandemic being the start of the problems we have talked about regarding the technological singularity as it approaches. As I said to you, the answer is no, this is not the start of the problems we discussed previously but I did not explain why.

You will notice the pandemic expands at an exponential rate and there are currently few problems we need to deal with today that operate this way. We humans do not think exponentially but rather linearly. Because of this, many people do not understand how to solve problems related to the virus due to its speed as you are witnessing with the opening of States back in the USA to the public from a position of sheltering in place. Also, many of the models predicting the huge number of deaths were wildly off the mark because just a small error magnified exponentially can produce many magnitudes of error.

Now imagine we start to have quantum computers and robotics in operation throughout the land as is sure to happen as Google has now reached what we call "Quantum Supremacy." This means they have created a computer that operates not only in a completely differently manner than traditional computers, but also at unbelievable exponential speeds. For example, to reach this Quantum supremacy, Google was able to solve a problem that would normally take a traditional computer 10,000 years to solve and did so in a couple of days.

First there will be hundreds, thousands, hundreds of thousands, and then millions of these quantum systems working all around us at exponential rates. Actually the number of systems acting like this will also expand exponentially as the computers design and recreate themselves iteratively in an exponentially fashion. For the sake of simplicity, imagine there is a problem with just one of these systems (in actuality there would be an exponential number of problems being produced). Our minds will have an exceedingly hard time with just this one problem not only just comprehending that the problem exists but even how to solve it if we wanted to.

This brings us to the concept of the law of Accelerating Convergence.

The strangest, most interesting and magical-seeming creations of the future will occur at the intersection of multiple exponential trend lines. You might call this the law of accelerating convergence and can summarize it as follows:

As technology continues to exponentially accelerate, the interactions between various subsets of exponential technology will create opportunities to slingshot past the already breakneck speed of accelerating change in ways that are even stranger and more difficult to predict than the path of any individual exponential technology.

If we look at any singular outgrowth of exponential tech and focus solely on it, we’re missing the vast possibility space of the ways technology is about to reshape the world.

This is a tough concept to get our heads around.

Even trying to work through the ramifications and implications of a single exponential technology requires diligent thought and the willingness to take intellectual risks. Trying to comprehend how they’re all going to affect each other is six shades of impossible.

After all, what’s more important: artificial intelligence or biotechnology? What is going to have a bigger impact on the world: nanotechnology or solar energy? These questions don’t have easy answers. There’s an insidious assumption hidden within, which is that different technologies operate independently of each other. But in practice, they don’t. The importance of biotech might hinge on a crucial development in artificial intelligence. A new solar breakthrough could come about by applying concepts from nanotechnology.

The only way to know the future of virtual reality is to study the future of artificial intelligence. The only way to know the future of 3D printing is to study the future of biotech. The only way to know the future of energy systems is to study advanced materials design.

To gain an appreciation of the magnitude of the interactions involved, here is a list of some of the individual current day technologies and related fields involved in this process. These in turn will create even more newer technologies all interacting and accelerating at an exponential rate. The complexity and speed of this giant technological web will be unfathomable.

3D Printing

Artificial Intelligence

Augmented Reality

Automation

Big Data

Biotechnology

Blockchain

Brain-Computer Interface

Computing

CRISPR

Drones

Energy

Entrepreneurship

Environment

Ethics

Finance

Manufacturing

Medicine

Tradecraft

Food and Agriculture

Health

Gadgets

Genetics

Innovations

Internet of Things

Longevity

Nanotechnology

Neuroscience

Robotics

Space

Stem Cells

Virtual Reality

Any one of these areas alone, moving at an exponentially accelerating rate, would create a future avalanche of new possibilities let alone the convergence of all of these interactions taken together. What might happen boggles the mind.


Such is the nature of our near future and what we are experiencing with the pandemic being exceeding small compared to the complexity and speeds of tomorrow's problems. This is why this must be solved now. In exponential terms, tomorrow is always too late.

Take care and stay safe,